Unibet 4NL - bet the flop as a semi bluff?
Another 4NL game and we are shorthanded (only 4 active players).
I open Jd Qd from the CO and both blinds call. I have them both marked as fish/calling stations.
The flop comes 6c 9s Th and it checks to me.
My question: should I C-bet here as a semi bluff? The changes of them folding is very small and I only have Q-high...
Game #613992072: Table €4 NL - 0.02/0.04- No Limit Hold'Em - 14:39:15 2017/11/20
***Seated players ***
Seat 1: Gimbo4 (€1.75)
Seat 2: lolitagirl (€2.93)
Seat 4: Hero (€7.33)
Seat 5: sisc077 (€4.28)
Seat 6: LoveQueen (€8.20) (sitting out)
*** Blinds and button ***
sisc077 has the button
Gimbo4 posts small blind, €0.02
lolitagirl posts big blind, €0.04
*** Hole cards ***
Dealt in Gimbo4
Dealt in lolitagirl
Dealt to Hero [Jd Qd]
Dealt in sisc077
*** Preflop ***
Hero raises €0 12 to €0.12
Gimbo4 calls €0.10
lolitagirl calls €0.08
*** Flop *** [6c 9s Th]
***Turn *** [6c 9s Th] [Ac]
*** River *** [6c 9s Th] [Ac] [7h]
Gimbo4 bets €0.04
Uncalled bet returned to Gimbo4: €0.04 Gimbo4 wins €0.35
The short answer - it depends.
Long answer - it depends on (1) your perceived hand strength, (2) your opponents' perceived range strength, (3) fold equity, and (4) drawing hand equity.
Against 2 calling stations - check and take a free card in position. Against fit-or-fold, semi-bluff to maximize fold equity + drawing hand equity.
As played, if you c-bet the flop you should double barrel the turn; however, since you didn't c-bet and they both check twice, you should bet the turn.